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未來之路:2020年的電子業是怎樣的?

關鍵字:電子業  智能家居 

近期由國際市場調研機構Frost & Sullivan公司和EBN聯合進行的一項調查顯示,未來的電子產業的核心將是智能家居、智能工廠、綠色IT、云計算、機器人技術、直覺性的消費電子產品(如觸控或是體感操控產品)、人工智能產品、納米材料和柔性電子產品等。

 

此次調查旨在了解產品設計的演變,并希望能勾畫一份2020年的未來藍圖,共收到了570份有效回復。

 

這些回復中最一致的認識是,突破性技術將產生更強大而智能的產品,以及OEM在產品設計及工藝設計上對合同制造商的依賴將日益增強。基于城市化和社會智能化,34.4%的受訪者認為未來,智能家居對電子制造和組件產業影響最大。而由于產業日益自動化,智能汽車和智能家居在產品設計和驗證階段的重要性也將越來越強。

 

電子產品的設計、功能以及元件尺寸有望得到迅速的發展。這些變革也將直接影響制造技術。58.2%的受訪者一致認為,基于人工智能的產品將是未來10年產業發展的標準。新能源和智能電網也將對2020年前的綠色和節能技術產生至關重要的作用。

 

而如下公司將在未來獲得較大的發展:虛擬化、移動應用、實時通信、電子診斷/監護以及逐漸模糊人類和機器區別界限的產品(比如醫療機器人等)。

 

能否抓住下一個大變革的關鍵在于能否準確把握價值點以及消費者行為的改變。需要注意的是,這種把握的效益和效果會因行業不同而大有不同。

 

領先公司和業界思想領袖都深刻意識到技術創新以及“市場先入者”策略的影響。能否準確判定快速增長的產品或領域,并進行適當的資源配置(包括人才和資金)對成功至關重要。而是否能夠進行跨產業學習成功經驗的能力——即復制其它行業成功經驗的能力——也將對產業競爭態勢起到重要作用。

 

最后,想著重說明的是,經濟狀況的發展趨勢仍未確定,未來的藍圖勾畫需要各界參與。很期待您來分享您的看法。您認為當前經濟趨勢將如何影響不同產業的研發和創新?以及這又將對電子產業供應鏈產生何種影響呢?

 

The Road Ahead: How Electronics Is Evolving

 

Lavanya Rammohan, Research Analyst, Electronics & Contract Manufacturing Practice, Frost & Sullivan

 

The future of the electronics industry involves smart homes, smart factories, green IT, cloud computing, robotics, intuitive consumer products, smart and artificial intelligence-based production, nanomaterials, and flexible electronics, among other emerging business trends, according to a survey recently conducted by Frost & Sullivan and EBN.

 

The survey strived to understand the evolution of product design and provide some roadmaps for 2020. The survey had 570 respondents, whose responses were interesting, to say the least.

 

The underlying themes were the development of more powerful and intelligent products with disruptive technology and an increased reliance by OEMs on contract manufacturers to support product design and design for manufacturability. As urbanization increases and we head toward a smart society, 34.4 percent of respondents picked smart homes as the product or trend that will have the greatest impact on electronics manufacturing and connected devices. As the industry transitions toward increasing automation, smart cars and smart homes have also made significant inroads into the design and validation stages.

 

Electronics product design, functionality, and component sizes are expected to evolve rapidly. These innovations will have a direct impact on manufacturing techniques. A resounding 58.2 percent of respondents agreed that smart and artificial intelligence-based production will be the norm within the next 10 years. Power generation and smart grids will also play a vital role in defining green and energy-efficient manufacturing techniques by 2020.

 

Companies will benefit from things like increased virtualization, mobile applications, real-time communications, advances in diagnostics and monitoring, and the blurring of the lines between human and machine interfaces (medical robotics, etc.)

 

The ease of understanding the next big innovation lies in the ability to capture the value and magnitude of the impact on consumers. Additionally, the benefits and effects will vary by industry.

 

Companies and thought leaders are well aware of the impact of technology innovation and a first-to-market strategy. The ability to spot the fastest-growth products/segments and allocate the right resources (talent and capital) will have a great impact on success. And cross-pollination -- the ability to transfer best-practices from one industry to another -- will play a vital role in the bid for competitive positioning.

 

It is important to note that, with economic uncertainty ahead, product roadmap development requires a different level of commitment. We would like to hear from you. How do you think the current economic trends will shape R&D and innovation across different industries? How will this impact the electronics supply chain?

 

 

產品目錄
MULTICOMP PRO
Kyet 科雅薄膜電容器
喬光電子(FTR)
采樣電阻
KINGSTATE(志豐電子)
君耀電子(Brightking)
RUBYCON電容原裝現貨供應商
HAMAMATSU 濱松光電產品
傳感器
飛思卡爾開發工具 Freescale
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